Cerro 2-1 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 19 Jun 2025

📅19/06/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.0pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.9pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +0%
0.99/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.15
-17% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cerro Largo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
18.03.2025 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
28.09.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 3-1 HT 2-1 Cerro Cerro URU
14.07.2024 Cerro Cerro 0-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
24.03.2024 Cerro Cerro 1-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
30.11.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
02.07.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro
2-1
AWAY Cerro Largo
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cerro vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro nicked a narrow win over Cerro Largo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Cerro made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cerro had 44% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 56%, shots finished 6-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Largo led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cerro and 0.83 for Cerro Largo.

What was the final score of Cerro vs Cerro Largo?

Cerro 2-1 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 19/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cerro 36%, draw 31%, Cerro Largo 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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