Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs CA Penarol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
URU
2-0
HT 0-0
CA Penarol
URU
0-1
HT 0-0
CA Penarol
URU
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-2 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) squeezed past CA Penarol 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was CA Penarol at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 39% of the ball to CA Penarol's 61%, shots finished 6-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 0.83 for CA Penarol.
What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs CA Penarol?
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-2 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 19/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs CA Penarol?
Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 27%, draw 32%, CA Penarol 41%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.