Cerro Largo vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerro Largo v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals
Cerro Largo vs CA Penarol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Cerro Largo
URU
0-0
HT 0-0
CA Penarol
URU
Cerro Largo 1-3 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol saw off Cerro Largo 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cerro Largo had 35% of the ball to CA Penarol's 65%, shots finished 4-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cerro Largo and 0.67 for CA Penarol.
What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs CA Penarol?
Cerro Largo 1-3 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs CA Penarol?
Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 20%, draw 26%, CA Penarol 54%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.