CA Penarol 0-0 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.6pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.53/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.47
-18% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Penarol
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cerro Largo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
19.02.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-2 HT 1-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
15.11.2023 CA Penarol CA Penarol 1-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
10.04.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
23.10.2022 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-2 HT 0-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
04.06.2022 CA Penarol CA Penarol 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
23.11.2021 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-2 HT 0-2 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Penarol
0-0
AWAY Cerro Largo
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH CA Penarol vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol and Cerro Largo played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was CA Penarol at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CA Penarol had 57% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 43%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CA Penarol and 0.83 for Cerro Largo.

What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Cerro Largo?

CA Penarol 0-0 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 50%, draw 25%, Cerro Largo 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CA Penarol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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17 Aug 2024
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