Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Montevideo Wanderers v Cerro — Team-Based Signals
Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Montevideo Wanderers
URU
3-0
HT 1-0
Cerro
URU
1-1
HT 1-0
Cerro
URU
1-1
HT 0-0
Montevideo Wanderers
URU
0-2
HT 0-0
Cerro
URU
Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 Cerro — Actual Match Statistics
Montevideo Wanderers edged past Cerro 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Montevideo Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 52% of the ball to Cerro's 48%, shots finished 16-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montevideo Wanderers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 0.83 for Cerro.
What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro?
Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Montevideo Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 45%, draw 28%, Cerro 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.