Cerro 1-1 Montevideo Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.9pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.5pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +25%
0.92/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.99
-23% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 20.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.71 xG 0.47
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
231 Passes 219
67% Pass Accuracy 67%
19 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Cerro Cerro 0-1 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
26.03.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 3-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
29.03.2021 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
11.10.2020 Cerro Cerro 1-1 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
05.12.2019 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
31.05.2019 Cerro Cerro 0-1 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers CON CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro
1-1
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cerro vs Montevideo Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro and Montevideo Wanderers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Cerro had 49% of the ball to Montevideo Wanderers's 51%, shots finished 9-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montevideo Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cerro and 1.17 for Montevideo Wanderers.

What was the final score of Cerro vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Cerro 1-1 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cerro 40%, draw 29%, Montevideo Wanderers 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cerro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
18 Feb 2024
01:15 Miramar Misiones vs Progreso Analysis →
03:30 Deportivo Maldonado vs Boston River Analysis →
23:00 Racing Club Montevideo vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Analysis →