Deportivo Maldonado 1-2 Boston River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maldonado EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston River EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.21/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.22
+0% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Boston River
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Boston River Boston River 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
26.02.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 3-2 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
24.09.2022 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
25.04.2022 Boston River Boston River 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
04.12.2021 Boston River Boston River 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
21.08.2021 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 0-2 HT 0-1 Boston River Boston River URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
1-2
AWAY Boston River
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maldonado vs Boston River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston River nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Boston River made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Maldonado had 53% of the ball to Boston River's 47%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boston River led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Maldonado and 1.83 for Boston River.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maldonado vs Boston River?

Deportivo Maldonado 1-2 Boston River in the Uruguay - Premier League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maldonado vs Boston River?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Maldonado win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maldonado 40%, draw 27%, Boston River 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Maldonado) ✗ Under 2.5
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