Racing Club Montevideo 2-1 Juventud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
20%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
50%
+3.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
20%
Away Win
24%
-3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventud EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.11/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.20
-25% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Juventud
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2025 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-0 HT 0-0 Juventud Juventud URU
08.06.2025 Juventud Juventud 2-1 HT 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
19.04.2025 Juventud Juventud 1-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
25.07.2022 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-0 HT 0-0 Juventud Juventud URU2
24.11.2021 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 3-1 HT 2-0 Juventud Juventud URU2
02.11.2019 Juventud Juventud 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
2-1
AWAY Juventud
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Racing Club Montevideo vs Juventud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club Montevideo nicked a narrow win over Juventud 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Racing Club Montevideo as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 37% of the ball to Juventud's 63%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 0.67 for Juventud.

What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Juventud?

Racing Club Montevideo 2-1 Juventud in the Uruguay - Premier League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Juventud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 53%, draw 27%, Juventud 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✗ Under 2.5
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