Asteras Tripolis vs AE Larissa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Asteras Tripolis v AE Larissa — Team-Based Signals
Asteras Tripolis vs AE Larissa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
AE Larissa
YUN
1-3
HT 0-1
Asteras Tripolis
YUN
1-2
HT 1-1
Asteras Tripolis
YUN
3-0
HT 3-0
Asteras Tripolis
YUN
Asteras Tripolis 3-1 AE Larissa — Actual Match Statistics
Asteras Tripolis saw off AE Larissa 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Asteras Tripolis as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 38% of the ball to AE Larissa's 62%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.41 to 0.74.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asteras Tripolis had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 1.33 for AE Larissa.
What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs AE Larissa?
Asteras Tripolis 3-1 AE Larissa in the Greece - Super League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs AE Larissa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 44%, draw 27%, AE Larissa 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.