Asteras Tripolis vs AE Larissa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Asteras Tripolis v AE Larissa — Team-Based Signals
Asteras Tripolis vs AE Larissa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
AE Larissa
YUN
1-3
HT 0-1
Asteras Tripolis
YUN
1-2
HT 1-1
Asteras Tripolis
YUN
3-0
HT 3-0
Asteras Tripolis
YUN
1-1
HT 1-0
AE Larissa
YUN
2-1
HT 1-1
Asteras Tripolis
YUN
Asteras Tripolis 2-2 AE Larissa — Actual Match Statistics
Asteras Tripolis and AE Larissa couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Asteras Tripolis at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 50% of the ball to AE Larissa's 50%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.73 to 1.64.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asteras Tripolis had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 1.33 for AE Larissa.
What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs AE Larissa?
Asteras Tripolis 2-2 AE Larissa in the Greece - Super League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs AE Larissa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 51%, draw 27%, AE Larissa 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.