Kifisia 3-2 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.91
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
58%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.97
2-3 Goals
34%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
3.47
6+ Goals
14%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 34% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
13.2
1/2
8%
24.95
1/X
7%
21.5
X/1
5%
14.3
X/2
16%
3.65
X/X
12%
5.56
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
34%
1.71
2/X
9%
18.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
14%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.8pp
58%
Away Win
66%
-7.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.7pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kifisia EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 70%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
0.64/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.01
-100% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -6%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
209 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 80%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.7
21.0 Crosses 18.5
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kifisia
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Panathinaikos
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.88 xG 1.12
27% Ball Possession 73%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
146 Passes 540
63% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1 HT 1-0 Kifisia Kifisia YUN
12.11.2023 Kifisia Kifisia 0-1 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kifisia
3-2
AWAY Panathinaikos
1.79 xG 2.28
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
166 Passes 418
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 25
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kifisia vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kifisia squeezed past Panathinaikos 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Panathinaikos carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kifisia had 32% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 68%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.79 to 2.28 — on chances, Panathinaikos could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kifisia and 1.00 for Panathinaikos.

What was the final score of Kifisia vs Panathinaikos?

Kifisia 3-2 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Super League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kifisia vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Kifisia 14%, draw 28%, Panathinaikos 58%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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