OFI 1-2 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 14 Sep 2025

OFI
1-2 HT 0-2
PAOK
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2025/2026

OFI vs PAOK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
61%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
2.91
6+ Goals
10%
9.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
11.55
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
21.95
1/X
4%
19.05
X/1
8%
13.8
X/2
14%
3.91
X/X
10%
6.18
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
40%
1.7
2/X
5%
16.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.95 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+6.6pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.3pp
60%
Away Win
66%
-5.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.7pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

OFI v PAOK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFI EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK EU Bookmakers 70%
-2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
0.84/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/0.87
+4% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -12%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
265 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 82%
12.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
13.8 Crosses 18.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

OFI vs PAOK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFI
2W-2D-2L
AWAY PAOK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.57 xG 2.39
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
274 Passes 423
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.02.2025 OFI OFI 0-5 HT 0-3 PAOK PAOK YUN
27.10.2024 PAOK PAOK 1-2 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUN
03.01.2024 PAOK PAOK 4-0 HT 2-0 OFI OFI YUN
03.09.2023 OFI OFI 1-0 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
14.01.2023 PAOK PAOK 0-0 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
18.09.2022 OFI OFI 1-1 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN

OFI 1-2 PAOK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFI
1-2
AWAY PAOK
0.30 xG 1.61
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
358 Passes 366
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH OFI vs PAOK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK nicked a narrow win over OFI 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, OFI had 51% of the ball to PAOK's 49%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.30 to 1.61 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold PAOK's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for OFI and 1.83 for PAOK.

What was the final score of OFI vs PAOK?

OFI 1-2 PAOK in the Greece - Super League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFI vs PAOK?

Before kick-off our model rated an PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split OFI 20%, draw 19%, PAOK 60%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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