Levadiakos 0-1 AEK Atina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.48
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
53%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.78
2-3 Goals
44%
1.7
4-5 Goals
17%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 30% vs market 28.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
8.23
1/2
10%
24.5
1/X
7%
16.95
X/1
6%
9.63
X/2
17%
3.96
X/X
12%
4.78
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.15
2/X
7%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
19%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-2.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levadiakos EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 59%
+14% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.15/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.71
+147% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
11.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
11.1 Crosses 18.6
0.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levadiakos
0W-1D-5L
AWAY AEK Atina
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.60 xG 2.04
30% Ball Possession 70%
4 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
138 Passes 458
58% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 34
7 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-1 HT 0-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
01.09.2024 Levadiakos Levadiakos 0-3 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
13.02.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
24.10.2022 Levadiakos Levadiakos 0-2 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
05.05.2019 Levadiakos Levadiakos 0-3 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
30.01.2019 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-0 HT 1-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levadiakos
0-1
AWAY AEK Atina
0.84 xG 1.86
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
395 Passes 347
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Levadiakos vs AEK Atina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina edged past Levadiakos 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Levadiakos had 52% of the ball to AEK Atina's 48%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 0.84 to 1.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Levadiakos and 2.17 for AEK Atina.

What was the final score of Levadiakos vs AEK Atina?

Levadiakos 0-1 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levadiakos vs AEK Atina?

Before kick-off our model rated an AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Levadiakos 20%, draw 27%, AEK Atina 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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