OFI 0-5 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 8 Feb 2025

OFI
0-5 HT 0-3
PAOK
📅08/02/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
49%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.65
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.02
6+ Goals
11%
9.93
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.65 — our 25% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.22
1/2
9%
21.7
1/X
8%
15.25
X/1
8%
9.46
X/2
18%
4.33
X/X
11%
5.43
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.18
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
48%
Away Win
54%
-5.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFI EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK EU Bookmakers 58%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.06/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.81
+39% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
14.5 Crosses 18.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFI
2W-2D-2L
AWAY PAOK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.57 xG 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
270 Passes 376
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
27.10.2024 PAOK PAOK 1-2 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUN
03.01.2024 PAOK PAOK 4-0 HT 2-0 OFI OFI YUN
03.09.2023 OFI OFI 1-0 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
14.01.2023 PAOK PAOK 0-0 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
18.09.2022 OFI OFI 1-1 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
15.01.2022 PAOK PAOK 3-0 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFI
0-5
AWAY PAOK
0.43 xG 4.66
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 5
300 Passes 567
82% Pass Accuracy 92%
8 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH OFI vs PAOK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK swept aside OFI 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, OFI had 38% of the ball to PAOK's 62%, shots finished 6-23, expected goals 0.43 to 4.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for OFI and 1.50 for PAOK.

What was the final score of OFI vs PAOK?

OFI 0-5 PAOK in the Greece - Super League on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFI vs PAOK?

Before kick-off our model rated an PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split OFI 25%, draw 26%, PAOK 48%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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