Ceske Budejovice 2-1 Bohemians 1905 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.03
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
9.99
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 25% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceske Budejovice EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians 1905 EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +23%
1.39/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.94
+2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
22.0 Crosses 16.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceske Budejovice
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Bohemians 1905
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.12.2023 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 0-0 HT 0-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
20.08.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 3-0 HT 1-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
19.02.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 1-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
30.08.2022 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 1-2 HT 0-1 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
17.04.2022 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 2-1 HT 1-1 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
20.11.2021 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 3-1 HT 2-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceske Budejovice
2-1
AWAY Bohemians 1905
1.06 xG 1.25
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
377 Passes 257
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ceske Budejovice vs Bohemians 1905
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceske Budejovice edged past Bohemians 1905 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) promised a tight game; Ceske Budejovice found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ceske Budejovice had 58% of the ball to Bohemians 1905's 42%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.06 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ceske Budejovice had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ceske Budejovice and 0.83 for Bohemians 1905.

What was the final score of Ceske Budejovice vs Bohemians 1905?

Ceske Budejovice 2-1 Bohemians 1905 in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceske Budejovice vs Bohemians 1905?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceske Budejovice win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ceske Budejovice 41%, draw 23%, Bohemians 1905 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceske Budejovice), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ceske Budejovice) ✓ BTTS Yes
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