FK Pardubice 2-0 FC Fastav Zlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.37
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.52
6+ Goals
11%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 28% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.09/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.25
-26% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 68%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.1 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Pardubice
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.60 xG 1.47
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
347 Passes 253
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2024 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 1-1 HT 1-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
04.11.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
21.05.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
19.02.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
30.08.2022 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
10.05.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Pardubice
2-0
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin
1.31 xG 0.93
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
275 Passes 245
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FK Pardubice vs FC Fastav Zlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Pardubice saw off FC Fastav Zlin 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had FK Pardubice as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FK Pardubice had 51% of the ball to FC Fastav Zlin's 49%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.31 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Fastav Zlin led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Pardubice and 1.33 for FC Fastav Zlin.

What was the final score of FK Pardubice vs FC Fastav Zlin?

FK Pardubice 2-0 FC Fastav Zlin in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Pardubice vs FC Fastav Zlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Pardubice win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FK Pardubice 42%, draw 28%, FC Fastav Zlin 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Pardubice) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Pardubice) ✗ BTTS Yes
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