FC Fastav Zlin 1-1 FK Pardubice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 25% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Fastav Zlin EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.78/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/1.60
+19% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
273 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 74%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
8.0 Crosses 15.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Fastav Zlin
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FK Pardubice
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
04.11.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
21.05.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
19.02.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
30.08.2022 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
10.05.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
19.03.2022 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 4-1 HT 2-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Fastav Zlin
1-1
AWAY FK Pardubice
1.47 xG 1.60
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
253 Passes 347
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Fastav Zlin vs FK Pardubice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Fastav Zlin and FK Pardubice shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FC Fastav Zlin had 44% of the ball to FK Pardubice's 56%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.47 to 1.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Fastav Zlin had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Fastav Zlin and 1.00 for FK Pardubice.

What was the final score of FC Fastav Zlin vs FK Pardubice?

FC Fastav Zlin 1-1 FK Pardubice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Fastav Zlin vs FK Pardubice?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Fastav Zlin win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Fastav Zlin 40%, draw 28%, FK Pardubice 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Fastav Zlin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Fastav Zlin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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