Viktoria Plzen 1-0 Slavia Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.81
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.15
6+ Goals
8%
20.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+0.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.0pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Prag EU Bookmakers 48%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
2.37/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.04
+100% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0 Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Plzen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Slavia Prag
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 1-2 HT 1-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
20.05.2023 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 2-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
11.03.2023 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 2-1 HT 0-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
18.09.2022 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 3-0 HT 2-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
01.05.2022 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 1-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
03.04.2022 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 1-1 HT 0-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Plzen
1-0
AWAY Slavia Prag
0.69 xG 0.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 8
199 Passes 300
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Viktoria Plzen vs Slavia Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Plzen edged past Slavia Prag 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Slavia Prag at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Viktoria Plzen had 42% of the ball to Slavia Prag's 58%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.69 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Viktoria Plzen and 1.17 for Slavia Prag.

What was the final score of Viktoria Plzen vs Slavia Prag?

Viktoria Plzen 1-0 Slavia Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Plzen vs Slavia Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slavia Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Plzen 30%, draw 25%, Slavia Prag 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Slavia Prag) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slavia Prag) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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