Sigma Olomouc 1-0 Jablonec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.87 — our 26% vs market 20.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.9pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Jablonec EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
0.94/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.47
-7% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 72%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
16.0 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sigma Olomouc
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Jablonec
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.11.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 1-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
26.04.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 2-2 HT 2-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
05.11.2022 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 3-0 HT 1-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
05.02.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 1-0 HT 0-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
29.08.2021 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 4-0 HT 1-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
02.05.2021 Jablonec Jablonec 3-1 HT 1-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sigma Olomouc
1-0
AWAY Jablonec
0.68 xG 0.58
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 12
204 Passes 360
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sigma Olomouc vs Jablonec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sigma Olomouc nicked a narrow win over Jablonec 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sigma Olomouc as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sigma Olomouc had 39% of the ball to Jablonec's 61%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.68 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sigma Olomouc and 1.17 for Jablonec.

What was the final score of Sigma Olomouc vs Jablonec?

Sigma Olomouc 1-0 Jablonec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sigma Olomouc vs Jablonec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sigma Olomouc win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sigma Olomouc 43%, draw 29%, Jablonec 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sigma Olomouc), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sigma Olomouc) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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