Banik Ostrava 2-2 Karvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.99
4-5 Goals
26%
2.69
6+ Goals
11%
6.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
69%
-10.4pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.5pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+6.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvina EU Bookmakers 16%
-13% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.57/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.34
+0% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 70%
32.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
23.8 Crosses 17.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banik Ostrava
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Karvina
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Karvina Karvina 1-3 HT 1-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
19.03.2022 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 1-3 HT 0-3 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
24.11.2021 Karvina Karvina 1-2 HT 0-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
29.05.2021 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 1-1 HT 0-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
23.08.2020 Karvina Karvina 0-0 HT 0-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
08.11.2019 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 3-0 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banik Ostrava
2-2
AWAY Karvina
1.37 xG 0.80
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 5
340 Passes 182
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Banik Ostrava vs Karvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banik Ostrava and Karvina shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Banik Ostrava at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Banik Ostrava had 63% of the ball to Karvina's 37%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.37 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banik Ostrava had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Banik Ostrava and 1.00 for Karvina.

What was the final score of Banik Ostrava vs Karvina?

Banik Ostrava 2-2 Karvina in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banik Ostrava vs Karvina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banik Ostrava win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Banik Ostrava 58%, draw 22%, Karvina 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Banik Ostrava) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Banik Ostrava) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇEK More Czech Republic - Czech Liga
14 Apr 2024
16:00 FC Fastav Zlin vs FK Pardubice Analysis →
16:00 Sigma Olomouc vs Jablonec Analysis →
19:00 Viktoria Plzen vs Slavia Prag Analysis →