Degerfors 1-3 Landskrona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 4 May 2024

Degerfors
1-3 HT 0-1
Landskrona
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Degerfors vs Landskrona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.91
Over 2.5
60%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.5
6+ Goals
17%
13.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.28
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
12%
3.98
X/2
11%
8.79
X/X
11%
5.13
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
23.15
2/2
10%
6.79
2/X
6%
15.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 12% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
48%
-8.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
52%
+8.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.9pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Degerfors v Landskrona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Degerfors EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Landskrona EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +13%
1.89/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.72
+18% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Degerfors vs Landskrona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Degerfors
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Landskrona
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
The Meetings
10.08.2018 Landskrona Landskrona 1-2 HT 1-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
21.04.2018 Degerfors Degerfors 2-1 HT 0-1 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
25.08.2014 Landskrona Landskrona 2-0 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
07.05.2014 Degerfors Degerfors 0-1 HT 0-1 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
05.08.2013 Degerfors Degerfors 2-0 HT 0-0 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
06.04.2013 Landskrona Landskrona 1-0 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Degerfors vs Landskrona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Landskrona beat Degerfors 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Degerfors at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Degerfors and 1.00 for Landskrona.

What was the final score of Degerfors vs Landskrona?

Degerfors 1-3 Landskrona in the Sweden - Superettan on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Degerfors vs Landskrona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Degerfors win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Degerfors 50%, draw 23%, Landskrona 27%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Degerfors) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Degerfors) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ2 More Sweden - Superettan
4 May 2024
14:00 IK Oddevold vs GIF Sundsvall Analysis →
14:00 Sandvikens IF vs IK Brage Analysis →
16:00 Östers vs Gefle Analysis →
16:00 Utsiktens BK vs Skövde AIK Analysis →