Utsiktens BK 4-1 Skövde AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.61
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.23
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
14.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.64 — our 26% vs market 22.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
2.11
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.6
X/1
7%
3.69
X/2
9%
9.78
X/X
7%
5.3
2/1
10%
23.6
2/2
9%
7.95
2/X
7%
17.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
58%
-0.8pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.1pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utsiktens BK EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Skövde AIK EU Bookmakers 22%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -14%
1.34/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.52
-26% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utsiktens BK
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Skövde AIK
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2023 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 1-0 HT 0-0 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ2
23.10.2022 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 1-1 HT 1-1 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
30.05.2022 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 1-1 HT 0-1 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ2
19.10.2019 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 1-2 HT 0-1 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ3
14.06.2014 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 1-0 HT 0-0 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utsiktens BK
4-1
AWAY Skövde AIK
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Utsiktens BK vs Skövde AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utsiktens BK cruised past Skövde AIK 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Utsiktens BK as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Utsiktens BK had 47% of the ball to Skövde AIK's 53%, shots finished 12-13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Utsiktens BK had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Utsiktens BK and 0.60 for Skövde AIK.

What was the final score of Utsiktens BK vs Skövde AIK?

Utsiktens BK 4-1 Skövde AIK in the Sweden - Superettan on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utsiktens BK vs Skövde AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utsiktens BK win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Utsiktens BK 57%, draw 19%, Skövde AIK 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utsiktens BK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Utsiktens BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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