IK Oddevold 1-0 GIF Sundsvall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 4 May 2024

IK Oddevold
1-0 HT 1-0
GIF Sundsvall
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

IK Oddevold vs GIF Sundsvall Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.79
6+ Goals
12%
16.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.38
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.2
X/1
13%
3.94
X/2
9%
8.33
X/X
13%
4.88
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
24.45
2/2
10%
6.65
2/X
4%
15.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 12% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Oddevold v GIF Sundsvall — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Oddevold EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY GIF Sundsvall EU Bookmakers 26%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.51
+24% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
410 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.3

IK Oddevold 1-0 GIF Sundsvall — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Oddevold
1-0
AWAY GIF Sundsvall
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IK Oddevold vs GIF Sundsvall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Oddevold squeezed past GIF Sundsvall 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had IK Oddevold as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, IK Oddevold had 50% of the ball to GIF Sundsvall's 50%, shots finished 15-2.

What was the final score of IK Oddevold vs GIF Sundsvall?

IK Oddevold 1-0 GIF Sundsvall in the Sweden - Superettan on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Oddevold vs GIF Sundsvall?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Oddevold win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split IK Oddevold 49%, draw 28%, GIF Sundsvall 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IK Oddevold) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IK Oddevold) ✗ BTTS Yes
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