Angelholm 2-0 Ljungskile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
42%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-5.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
43%
Away Win
38%
+4.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.8pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angelholm EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ljungskile EU Bookmakers 42%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.23/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.31
-13% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angelholm
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ljungskile
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
19.08.2023 Angelholm Angelholm 1-0 HT 1-0 Ljungskile Ljungskile İSÇ3
16.04.2023 Ljungskile Ljungskile 0-1 HT 0-1 Angelholm Angelholm İSÇ3
05.11.2022 Angelholm Angelholm 3-1 HT 2-0 Ljungskile Ljungskile İSÇ3
11.06.2022 Ljungskile Ljungskile 4-0 HT 2-0 Angelholm Angelholm İSÇ3
11.09.2016 Angelholm Angelholm 1-1 HT 1-1 Ljungskile Ljungskile İSÇ2
28.05.2016 Ljungskile Ljungskile 2-2 HT 0-1 Angelholm Angelholm İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angelholm
2-0
AWAY Ljungskile
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Angelholm vs Ljungskile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angelholm beat Ljungskile 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ljungskile at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Angelholm had 51% of the ball to Ljungskile's 49%, shots finished 14-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Angelholm had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Angelholm and 1.33 for Ljungskile.

What was the final score of Angelholm vs Ljungskile?

Angelholm 2-0 Ljungskile in the Sweden - 1st Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angelholm vs Ljungskile?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ljungskile win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Angelholm 31%, draw 27%, Ljungskile 43%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ljungskile) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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