Onsala 2-3 Oskarshamns AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
43%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
14%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
42%
-15.3pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.9pp
43%
Away Win
33%
+9.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.6pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Onsala EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Oskarshamns AIK EU Bookmakers 37%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.37
+32% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Onsala
2-3
AWAY Oskarshamns AIK
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
13 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Onsala vs Oskarshamns AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oskarshamns AIK edged past Onsala 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Oskarshamns AIK as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Onsala had 42% of the ball to Oskarshamns AIK's 58%, shots finished 14-12.

What was the final score of Onsala vs Oskarshamns AIK?

Onsala 2-3 Oskarshamns AIK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Onsala vs Oskarshamns AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oskarshamns AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Onsala 27%, draw 31%, Oskarshamns AIK 43%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oskarshamns AIK), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oskarshamns AIK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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