FC Gute 1-5 Falu BS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.19
Draw
17%
3.72
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.23
Over 2.5
63%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+5.9pp
17%
Draw
24%
-6.4pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.4pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Gute EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Falu BS EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+5% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH FC Gute vs Falu BS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falu BS ran out comfortable winners over FC Gute 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FC Gute at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of FC Gute vs Falu BS?

FC Gute 1-5 Falu BS in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Gute vs Falu BS?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Gute win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FC Gute 48%, draw 17%, Falu BS 35%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Gute) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Gute) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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