IF Sylvia 2-2 Nacka Iliria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
19%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
54%
+6.3pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.2pp
19%
Away Win
24%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IF Sylvia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacka Iliria EU Bookmakers 27%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.67
-5% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
406 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IF Sylvia
2-2
AWAY Nacka Iliria
68% Ball Possession 32%
8 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH IF Sylvia vs Nacka Iliria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IF Sylvia and Nacka Iliria couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had IF Sylvia at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, IF Sylvia had 68% of the ball to Nacka Iliria's 32%, shots finished 8-9.

What was the final score of IF Sylvia vs Nacka Iliria?

IF Sylvia 2-2 Nacka Iliria in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IF Sylvia vs Nacka Iliria?

Before kick-off our model rated a IF Sylvia win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split IF Sylvia 60%, draw 21%, Nacka Iliria 19%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (IF Sylvia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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