IK Tord 2-0 Vastra Frolunda IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.4pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.8pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-7.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+14.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-14.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.4pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Tord EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Vastra Frolunda IF EU Bookmakers 52%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.71/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.11
+13% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +20%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
270 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Tord
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Vastra Frolunda IF
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
01.10.2023 IK Tord IK Tord 1-3 HT 1-1 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
27.05.2023 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF 3-1 HT 2-0 IK Tord IK Tord İSÇ4
25.09.2021 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF 2-0 HT 2-0 IK Tord IK Tord İSÇ4
27.06.2021 IK Tord IK Tord 1-1 HT 0-0 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IK Tord vs Vastra Frolunda IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Tord got the better of Vastra Frolunda IF 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Vastra Frolunda IF at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vastra Frolunda IF led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for IK Tord and 2.25 for Vastra Frolunda IF.

What was the final score of IK Tord vs Vastra Frolunda IF?

IK Tord 2-0 Vastra Frolunda IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Tord vs Vastra Frolunda IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vastra Frolunda IF win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split IK Tord 30%, draw 29%, Vastra Frolunda IF 41%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vastra Frolunda IF) ✗ BTTS Yes
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