IK Sirius 0-3 Hacken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.74
6+ Goals
13%
7.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.25
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
14%
5.63
X/2
6%
6.09
X/X
12%
5.69
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
23.6
2/2
14%
3.63
2/X
6%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 13% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
40%
+8.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
26%
Away Win
35%
-9.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.6pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hacken EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.76/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.37
+38% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
402 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 82%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
21.0 Crosses 17.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Sirius
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hacken
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.35 xG 1.80
49% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
434 Passes 441
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 38
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.08.2023 Hacken Hacken 3-2 HT 1-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
23.04.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-4 HT 0-1 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
22.08.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-1 HT 0-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
28.05.2022 Hacken Hacken 4-3 HT 2-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
29.11.2021 IK Sirius IK Sirius 3-0 HT 2-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
24.04.2021 Hacken Hacken 1-2 HT 0-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Sirius
0-3
AWAY Hacken
1.26 xG 2.03
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
425 Passes 366
89% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 33
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH IK Sirius vs Hacken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hacken cruised past IK Sirius 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was IK Sirius at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, IK Sirius had 53% of the ball to Hacken's 47%, shots finished 17-17, expected goals 1.26 to 2.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hacken led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for IK Sirius and 2.17 for Hacken.

What was the final score of IK Sirius vs Hacken?

IK Sirius 0-3 Hacken in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Sirius vs Hacken?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Sirius win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split IK Sirius 49%, draw 25%, Hacken 26%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (IK Sirius), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IK Sirius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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