Mjallby 1-1 Brommapojkarna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.43
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
13.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.47 — our 26% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.37
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
12%
5.28
X/2
14%
6.11
X/X
9%
4.53
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
13%
4.14
2/X
8%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 30.5 — our 9% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.71/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.39
+31% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +122% / +7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
20.4 Crosses 20.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Brommapojkarna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.82 xG 1.04
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
297 Passes 358
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 1-2 HT 0-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
24.04.2023 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 2-0 HT 1-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
22.09.2019 Mjallby Mjallby 0-2 HT 0-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ2
08.06.2019 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 1-1 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ2
01.11.2015 Mjallby Mjallby 2-1 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ2
30.06.2015 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 2-2 HT 0-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
1-1
AWAY Brommapojkarna
0.73 xG 1.82
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
343 Passes 346
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 41
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs Brommapojkarna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby and Brommapojkarna shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mjallby had 49% of the ball to Brommapojkarna's 51%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 0.73 to 1.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brommapojkarna led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mjallby and 1.67 for Brommapojkarna.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs Brommapojkarna?

Mjallby 1-1 Brommapojkarna in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs Brommapojkarna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 39%, draw 25%, Brommapojkarna 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mjallby), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mjallby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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