Kalmar 5-2 Halmstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.3
6+ Goals
10%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.87
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
19%
4.35
X/2
11%
6.94
X/X
13%
4.2
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
14%
5.51
2/X
5%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalmar EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Halmstad EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +24%
1.34/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.58
-16% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
18.2 Crosses 20.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalmar
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Halmstad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.17 xG 1.59
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
484 Passes 298
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.11.2023 Halmstad Halmstad 3-0 HT 1-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
23.04.2023 Kalmar Kalmar 2-0 HT 1-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
19.09.2021 Halmstad Halmstad 0-1 HT 0-1 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
14.08.2021 Kalmar Kalmar 1-1 HT 1-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
20.09.2017 Halmstad Halmstad 1-1 HT 0-1 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
01.05.2017 Kalmar Kalmar 2-0 HT 1-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalmar
5-2
AWAY Halmstad
1.49 xG 1.54
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
523 Passes 307
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kalmar vs Halmstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalmar swept aside Halmstad 5-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kalmar as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kalmar had 61% of the ball to Halmstad's 39%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.49 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kalmar had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kalmar and 0.83 for Halmstad.

What was the final score of Kalmar vs Halmstad?

Kalmar 5-2 Halmstad in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalmar vs Halmstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalmar win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kalmar 41%, draw 25%, Halmstad 33%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kalmar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kalmar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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