Atletico Sanluqueno 1-0 Alcoyano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.47
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
4.83
6+ Goals
10%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Sanluqueno EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcoyano EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.70/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.98
+13% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +42%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Sanluqueno
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Alcoyano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.08.2023 Alcoyano Alcoyano 3-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Sanluqueno Atletico Sanluqueno İS3
30.01.2022 Alcoyano Alcoyano 3-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Sanluqueno Atletico Sanluqueno İS3
10.10.2021 Atletico Sanluqueno Atletico Sanluqueno 2-2 HT 1-0 Alcoyano Alcoyano İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Sanluqueno
1-0
AWAY Alcoyano
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Sanluqueno vs Alcoyano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Sanluqueno edged past Alcoyano 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Sanluqueno as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Sanluqueno had 54% of the ball to Alcoyano's 46%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Alcoyano led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Sanluqueno and 2.67 for Alcoyano.

What was the final score of Atletico Sanluqueno vs Alcoyano?

Atletico Sanluqueno 1-0 Alcoyano in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Sanluqueno vs Alcoyano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Sanluqueno win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Atletico Sanluqueno 46%, draw 28%, Alcoyano 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Sanluqueno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Sanluqueno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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