Sestao River 0-1 Deportivo La Coruna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
40%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.67
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.4
6+ Goals
10%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-7.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestao River EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 51%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.51/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.72
-49% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
230 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sestao River
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
10.12.2023 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 HT 1-1 Sestao River Sestao River İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sestao River
0-1
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
55% Ball Possession 45%
5 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sestao River vs Deportivo La Coruna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Coruna squeezed past Sestao River 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Deportivo La Coruna found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sestao River had 55% of the ball to Deportivo La Coruna's 45%, shots finished 5-8.

What was the final score of Sestao River vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Sestao River 0-1 Deportivo La Coruna in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestao River vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sestao River 32%, draw 28%, Deportivo La Coruna 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) ✓ Under 2.5
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