Real Murcia 2-3 CD Castellon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.7
6+ Goals
7%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.4pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 46%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -21%
1.05/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.41
+0% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -34%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
207 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Murcia
0W-3D-3L
AWAY CD Castellon
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
17.12.2023 CD Castellon CD Castellon 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
14.05.2023 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-1 HT 1-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS3
26.11.2022 CD Castellon CD Castellon 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
20.11.2019 CD Castellon CD Castellon 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İSPFK
02.05.2010 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
29.11.2009 CD Castellon CD Castellon 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Murcia
2-3
AWAY CD Castellon
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Real Murcia vs CD Castellon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Castellon edged past Real Murcia 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 37% — and on the day CD Castellon made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Murcia had 67% of the ball to CD Castellon's 33%, shots finished 13-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Castellon led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Real Murcia and 1.17 for CD Castellon.

What was the final score of Real Murcia vs CD Castellon?

Real Murcia 2-3 CD Castellon in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Murcia vs CD Castellon?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Real Murcia 35%, draw 29%, CD Castellon 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Castellon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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