04/05/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
2-2
Luzern II vs Delemont Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
37%
21%
Draw
27%
34%
Away Win
36%
44%
Under 2.5
35%
56%
Over 2.5
65%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Luzern II v Delemont — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Luzern II
EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY
Delemont
EU Bookmakers 40%
-22% /
-22%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-7% /
-7%
1.00/1.46
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.57/2.58
-41%
/
+11%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-4%
/
-36%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
6
346 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
231 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
1.7
Luzern II vs Delemont Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Luzern II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Delemont
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
42%
Ball Possession
58%
9
Total Shots
21
4
Shots on Target
10
3
Corners
7
0
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
29.10.2023
Delemont
3-2
HT 1-1
Luzern II
İSV1Y
3-2
HT 1-1
Luzern II
İSV1Y
POST-MATCH
Luzern II vs Delemont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Delemont ran out comfortable winners over Luzern II 3-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Luzern II at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Luzern II vs Delemont?
Luzern II 0-3 Delemont in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Luzern II vs Delemont?
Before kick-off our model rated a Luzern II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Luzern II 45%, draw 21%, Delemont 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Luzern II), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Luzern II)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İSV1Y
More Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme
4 May 2024