Rapperswil-Jona 1-1 Bavois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.74
Over 2.5
58%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-5.4pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.3pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
33%
+9.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
67%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapperswil-Jona EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Bavois EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +11%
2.01/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.54
-10% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +38%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
398 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapperswil-Jona
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Bavois
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Bavois 0-2 HT 0-2 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona İSV1Y
19.11.2022 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona 2-1 HT 2-1 Bavois İSV1Y
06.04.2022 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona 0-1 Bavois İSV1Y
14.09.2018 Bavois 1-1 HT 0-0 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona İSVK
POST-MATCH Rapperswil-Jona vs Bavois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapperswil-Jona and Bavois shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Rapperswil-Jona at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rapperswil-Jona had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Rapperswil-Jona and 0.75 for Bavois.

What was the final score of Rapperswil-Jona vs Bavois?

Rapperswil-Jona 1-1 Bavois in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapperswil-Jona vs Bavois?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rapperswil-Jona win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Rapperswil-Jona 53%, draw 19%, Bavois 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rapperswil-Jona), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rapperswil-Jona) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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