Zürich II 1-2 Etoile Carouge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+2.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zürich II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 49%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.84/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.58
+4% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zürich II
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Etoile Carouge
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 3-2 HT 2-1 Zürich II Zürich II İSV1Y
18.02.2023 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 1-3 HT 1-1 Zürich II Zürich II İSV1Y
13.08.2022 Zürich II Zürich II 0-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
22.08.2020 Zürich II Zürich II 1-1 HT 0-1 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Zürich II vs Etoile Carouge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Carouge edged past Zürich II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Etoile Carouge as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zürich II and 1.25 for Etoile Carouge.

What was the final score of Zürich II vs Etoile Carouge?

Zürich II 1-2 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zürich II vs Etoile Carouge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Zürich II 30%, draw 23%, Etoile Carouge 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Etoile Carouge), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Etoile Carouge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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