Grasshoppers 3-2 Stade Ouchy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.19
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.2
X/1
15%
4.06
X/2
8%
9.65
X/X
16%
5.07
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
23.6
2/2
12%
7.38
2/X
6%
14.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 24%
-14% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.38/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.77
-32% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
362 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
22.2 Crosses 10.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grasshoppers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stade Ouchy
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.21 xG 1.01
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
228 Passes 398
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-1 HT 1-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
12.11.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 5-2 HT 4-1 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV
02.09.2023 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-1 HT 0-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
07.05.2021 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 1-2 HT 1-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
02.03.2021 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-1 HT 1-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV2
22.01.2021 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 2-0 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grasshoppers
3-2
AWAY Stade Ouchy
1.89 xG 0.56
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
377 Passes 335
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Grasshoppers vs Stade Ouchy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grasshoppers squeezed past Stade Ouchy 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Grasshoppers as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Grasshoppers had 52% of the ball to Stade Ouchy's 48%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.89 to 0.56 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Grasshoppers's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Grasshoppers and 1.33 for Stade Ouchy.

What was the final score of Grasshoppers vs Stade Ouchy?

Grasshoppers 3-2 Stade Ouchy in the Switzerland - Super League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grasshoppers vs Stade Ouchy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grasshoppers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Grasshoppers 48%, draw 27%, Stade Ouchy 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grasshoppers), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Grasshoppers) ✓ BTTS Yes
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