Lugano vs St. Gallen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lugano v St. Gallen — Team-Based Signals
Lugano vs St. Gallen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
St. Gallen
İSV
1-2
HT 1-0
Lugano
İSV
1-1
HT 1-0
St. Gallen
İSV
1-1
HT 1-0
Lugano
İSV
Lugano 0-1 St. Gallen — Actual Match Statistics
St. Gallen squeezed past Lugano 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Lugano at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Lugano had 70% of the ball to St. Gallen's 30%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 1.00 to 1.59.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lugano had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lugano and 1.00 for St. Gallen.
What was the final score of Lugano vs St. Gallen?
Lugano 0-1 St. Gallen in the Switzerland - Super League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lugano vs St. Gallen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lugano 43%, draw 25%, St. Gallen 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lugano) went the other way.