Servette 2-1 Winterthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.86
2-3 Goals
43%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.76
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.35
X/1
15%
3.74
X/2
6%
13.05
X/X
7%
6.89
2/1
8%
20.35
2/2
9%
9.52
2/X
10%
17.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-10.4pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.8pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.7pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Servette EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Winterthur EU Bookmakers 19%
-7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.99/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.56
-16% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +0%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
32.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
23.7 Crosses 11.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Servette
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Winterthur
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.60 xG 0.87
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
386 Passes 328
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
34 Box Touches 19
30 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 0-1 HT 0-0 Servette Servette İSVK
30.03.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-0 HT 0-0 Servette Servette İSV
23.01.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 3-3 HT 0-2 Servette Servette İSV
27.09.2023 Servette Servette 2-2 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
20.05.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 0-1 HT 0-0 Servette Servette İSV
26.02.2023 Servette Servette 1-1 HT 1-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Servette
2-1
AWAY Winterthur
1.60 xG 0.88
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
325 Passes 351
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Servette vs Winterthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Servette nicked a narrow win over Winterthur 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Servette as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Servette had 50% of the ball to Winterthur's 50%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.60 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Servette had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Servette and 1.17 for Winterthur.

What was the final score of Servette vs Winterthur?

Servette 2-1 Winterthur in the Switzerland - Super League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Servette vs Winterthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Servette win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Servette 53%, draw 24%, Winterthur 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Servette), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Servette) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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