Winterthur 0-1 Servette — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Cup, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
19%
3.35
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.35
6+ Goals
11%
12.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.78
1/2
10%
24.45
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
11%
7.22
X/2
18%
4.62
X/X
7%
4.83
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.75
2/X
5%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+5.6pp
19%
Draw
26%
-7.2pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+1.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.2pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winterthur EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Servette EU Bookmakers 49%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -58% / -58%
0.67/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/3.03
-56% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -55%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winterthur
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Servette
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.93 xG 1.53
46% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
314 Passes 380
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-0 HT 0-0 Servette Servette İSV
23.01.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 3-3 HT 0-2 Servette Servette İSV
27.09.2023 Servette Servette 2-2 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
20.05.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 0-1 HT 0-0 Servette Servette İSV
26.02.2023 Servette Servette 1-1 HT 1-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
15.02.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 1-2 HT 0-0 Servette Servette İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Winterthur
0-1
AWAY Servette
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Winterthur vs Servette
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Servette edged past Winterthur 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Servette as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Winterthur had 50% of the ball to Servette's 50%, shots finished 7-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Servette led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Winterthur and 1.50 for Servette.

What was the final score of Winterthur vs Servette?

Winterthur 0-1 Servette in the Switzerland - Cup on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winterthur vs Servette?

Before kick-off our model rated an Servette win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Winterthur 34%, draw 19%, Servette 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Servette), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Servette) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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