Winterthur 1-0 Servette — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
44%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.18
6+ Goals
12%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.49
1/2
9%
22.3
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
15%
8.88
X/2
14%
4.18
X/X
12%
5.32
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.28
2/X
8%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+7.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
44%
Away Win
53%
-9.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.4pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winterthur EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Servette EU Bookmakers 57%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.12/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.01
-13% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -38%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
16.2 Crosses 21.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winterthur
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Servette
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.93 xG 1.51
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
318 Passes 371
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.01.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 3-3 HT 0-2 Servette Servette İSV
27.09.2023 Servette Servette 2-2 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
20.05.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 0-1 HT 0-0 Servette Servette İSV
26.02.2023 Servette Servette 1-1 HT 1-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
15.02.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 1-2 HT 0-0 Servette Servette İSV
06.08.2022 Servette Servette 1-0 HT 0-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Winterthur
1-0
AWAY Servette
0.62 xG 1.45
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 10
238 Passes 491
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 35
4 Crosses 42
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Winterthur vs Servette
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winterthur squeezed past Servette 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Servette at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Winterthur had 34% of the ball to Servette's 66%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.62 to 1.45 — on chances, Servette could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Servette led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Winterthur and 1.67 for Servette.

What was the final score of Winterthur vs Servette?

Winterthur 1-0 Servette in the Switzerland - Super League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winterthur vs Servette?

Before kick-off our model rated an Servette win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Winterthur 30%, draw 26%, Servette 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Servette) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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