Al Ahli Manama 3-3 Al Hadd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.11
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.76
6+ Goals
9%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 28% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.1pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.3pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hadd EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.08/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.51
-25% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Manama
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Al Hadd
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
02.12.2023 Al Hadd Al Hadd 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
19.02.2023 Al Hadd Al Hadd 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
23.11.2022 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Hadd Al Hadd BAH
27.04.2022 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Hadd Al Hadd BAH
03.01.2022 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Hadd Al Hadd BAH
08.03.2021 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Hadd Al Hadd BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Manama
3-3
AWAY Al Hadd
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Manama vs Al Hadd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Manama and Al Hadd couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ahli Manama had 48% of the ball to Al Hadd's 52%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Ahli Manama and 0.83 for Al Hadd.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Manama vs Al Hadd?

Al Ahli Manama 3-3 Al Hadd in the Bahrain - Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Manama vs Al Hadd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Manama 38%, draw 25%, Al Hadd 37%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli Manama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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