Manama 0-3 Muharraq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
41%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 30% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+6.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
41%
Away Win
49%
-7.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.6pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manama EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Muharraq EU Bookmakers 53%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +4%
0.85/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.32
-18% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -46%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
255 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manama
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Muharraq
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.12.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 3-1 HT 2-0 Manama Manama BAH
25.04.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 1-1 HT 0-0 Manama Manama BAH
20.12.2022 Manama Manama 0-1 HT 0-1 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
16.04.2022 Muharraq Muharraq 1-2 HT 1-1 Manama Manama BAH
03.01.2022 Manama Manama 3-0 HT 3-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
07.05.2021 Muharraq Muharraq 3-1 HT 1-0 Manama Manama BAH
POST-MATCH Manama vs Muharraq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq cruised past Manama 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Muharraq as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Muharraq led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Manama and 1.50 for Muharraq.

What was the final score of Manama vs Muharraq?

Manama 0-3 Muharraq in the Bahrain - Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manama vs Muharraq?

Before kick-off our model rated an Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Manama 30%, draw 29%, Muharraq 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muharraq), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Muharraq) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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