Busaiteen 2-3 Al Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 4 May 2024

Busaiteen
2-3 HT 0-1
Al Najma
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Bahrain - Premier League – 2025/2026

Busaiteen vs Al Najma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.0
Over 2.5
40%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.79
2-3 Goals
45%
1.83
4-5 Goals
15%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 31% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-6.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
46%
+14.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
54%
-14.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Busaiteen v Al Najma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busaiteen EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najma EU Bookmakers 45%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.23/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.29
+7% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Busaiteen vs Al Najma Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busaiteen
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Najma
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.12.2023 Al Najma Al Najma 0-1 HT 0-0 Busaiteen Busaiteen BAH
20.03.2023 Busaiteen Busaiteen 3-1 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAHK
23.04.2021 Busaiteen Busaiteen 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
18.03.2021 Al Najma Al Najma 2-1 HT 1-1 Busaiteen Busaiteen BAHK
08.01.2021 Al Najma Al Najma 1-0 HT 0-0 Busaiteen Busaiteen BAH
POST-MATCH Busaiteen vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma nicked a narrow win over Busaiteen 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Al Najma made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Busaiteen and 1.20 for Al Najma.

What was the final score of Busaiteen vs Al Najma?

Busaiteen 2-3 Al Najma in the Bahrain - Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busaiteen vs Al Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busaiteen win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Busaiteen 36%, draw 30%, Al Najma 34%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Busaiteen), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Busaiteen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAH More Bahrain - Premier League
4 May 2024
19:00 Manama vs Muharraq Analysis →
19:00 Al Ahli Manama vs Al Hadd Analysis →