RWDM 47 1-3 Sporting Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.28
2-3 Goals
47%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
3.59
6+ Goals
8%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 29% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.77
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
13%
5.61
X/2
11%
5.52
X/X
12%
4.5
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
18%
3.7
2/X
10%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.8pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RWDM 47 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
1.10/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.42
-30% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
16.8 Crosses 17.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RWDM 47
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.24 xG 1.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 11
280 Passes 425
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-0 HT 0-0 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 BEL
02.12.2023 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
06.10.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-1 HT 0-0 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RWDM 47
1-3
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
0.83 xG 1.75
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
270 Passes 424
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
32 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RWDM 47 vs Sporting Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi got the better of RWDM 47 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Sporting Charleroi made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RWDM 47 had 42% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 58%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.83 to 1.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sporting Charleroi led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for RWDM 47 and 0.67 for Sporting Charleroi.

What was the final score of RWDM 47 vs Sporting Charleroi?

RWDM 47 1-3 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RWDM 47 vs Sporting Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated a RWDM 47 win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split RWDM 47 36%, draw 29%, Sporting Charleroi 35%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (RWDM 47) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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