Slonim 1-4 Dnepr Rogachev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.18
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
65%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.63
Over 2.5
63%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
46%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
11%
+4.8pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.3pp
65%
Away Win
70%
-5.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
34%
+3.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
66%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slonim EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Dnepr Rogachev EU Bookmakers 75%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
0.57/2.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.62/1.68
-43% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -53%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slonim
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Dnepr Rogachev
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 13
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.08.2023 Dnepr Rogachev Dnepr Rogachev 5-1 HT 3-1 Slonim Slonim BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slonim
1-4
AWAY Dnepr Rogachev
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Slonim vs Dnepr Rogachev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dnepr Rogachev ran out comfortable winners over Slonim 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dnepr Rogachev as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Slonim had 40% of the ball to Dnepr Rogachev's 60%, shots finished 4-16.

What was the final score of Slonim vs Dnepr Rogachev?

Slonim 1-4 Dnepr Rogachev in the Belarus - 1st Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slonim vs Dnepr Rogachev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dnepr Rogachev win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Slonim 16%, draw 19%, Dnepr Rogachev 65%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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