04/05/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
JSM Tiaret vs CR Mechria Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
55%
31%
Draw
27%
21%
Away Win
18%
54%
Under 2.5
59%
46%
Over 2.5
41%
56%
BTTS Yes
42%
44%
BTTS No
58%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
JSM Tiaret v CR Mechria — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
JSM Tiaret
EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY
CR Mechria
EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% /
+4%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+13% /
+13%
2.38/0.26
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.07/1.04
+53%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+26%
/
+26%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
13
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
338 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
294 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
3.0
POST-MATCH
JSM Tiaret vs CR Mechria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
JSM Tiaret edged past CR Mechria 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had JSM Tiaret as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of JSM Tiaret vs CR Mechria?
JSM Tiaret 1-0 CR Mechria in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for JSM Tiaret vs CR Mechria?
Before kick-off our model rated a JSM Tiaret win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split JSM Tiaret 48%, draw 31%, CR Mechria 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JSM Tiaret), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (JSM Tiaret)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
CZYR2
More Algeria - 2nd Division
4 May 2024