Cumbaya vs Macara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cumbaya v Macara — Team-Based Signals
Cumbaya vs Macara Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Macara
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
Cumbaya
EKV1
Cumbaya 1-0 Macara — Actual Match Statistics
Cumbaya edged past Macara 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Macara at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Cumbaya had 52% of the ball to Macara's 48%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.23 to 0.60.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cumbaya had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cumbaya and 0.00 for Macara.
What was the final score of Cumbaya vs Macara?
Cumbaya 1-0 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cumbaya vs Macara?
Before kick-off our model rated an Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cumbaya 27%, draw 31%, Macara 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Macara), BTTS Yes went the other way.