Orense vs El Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Orense v El Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Orense vs El Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
El Nacional
EKV1
3-1
HT 3-0
Orense
EKV1
1-0
HT 0-0
El Nacional
EKV1
2-2
HT 1-2
Orense
EKV1
Orense 0-1 El Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
El Nacional edged past Orense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Orense at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Orense had 60% of the ball to El Nacional's 40%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 0.23 to 0.95.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Orense and 1.50 for El Nacional.
What was the final score of Orense vs El Nacional?
Orense 0-1 El Nacional in the Ecuador - Premier on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orense vs El Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a Orense win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Orense 46%, draw 29%, El Nacional 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Orense) went the other way.